During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Nate Silver's. You can't imitate a worldview. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. It's easy. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. The Gerrymandering Project - FiveThirtyEight Today those numbers have flipped. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. RSS Loading. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. Feb. 25, 2021. info. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The Downballot: Americans are more liberal than you think, with Rachael Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. Local news is disappearing across the country. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. FT Podcasts | Financial Times Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. All rights reserved. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company.